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Petapixel chat on the SL3s and L mount’s future

pdk42

Moderator
Interesting discussion. I agree with most of what they say. I think 2025 will be a make or break year for Panasonic.

 
I only have watched the L-Mount part and I think while they got some points, they are also very subjective in their point of view as reviewers and as former employees of a local camera store in Canada.
The real problem that I see with Panasonic is that they are completely have no higher end options. Neither for photography nor for videography. But the S5II is still one of the best mid-range cameras and even the older cameras like the S1R are still valid options for everyone who don't want to shoot fast subjects. In fact, while newer cameras are having faster sensors, they also tend to have worse DR and the S1 line had already gotten many features models from other brands got way later. Of course all of those are older cameras.
Also about the availability of lenses, that's maybe largely depends on market's and it's lot less of a problem with online offerings. I don't know about Canada, but here in Germany you can get every Sigma, Panasonic or even Leica lens in a matter of view day's (Leica is a little more difficult) and many of the bigger stores have them on stock.
 
I am somewhat worried that we will be disappointed. It seems unlikely that Panasonic will suddenly pull out a completely new sensor that Leica does not have. So we can expect basically the same sensor as the SL3 (ok but very slow readout) and the SL3-S, which is still the same sensor as the S5ii, which is still the same sensor as in the s1 plus PDAF.

I was hoping for a bit more. Some sort of stacked sensor would have been tempting

I’m also surprised that AF has not improved faster. I was expecting them to update and improve at a faster pace. Panasonic usually was very good with regular updates but they did not release much.

That’s the negative read. The positive one would be that they kept the surprises for after Leica’s releases so they are not looking bad. But I don’t see that being realistic given their L2 alliance.
 
I am somewhat worried that we will be disappointed. It seems unlikely that Panasonic will suddenly pull out a completely new sensor that Leica does not have. So we can expect basically the same sensor as the SL3 (ok but very slow readout) and the SL3-S, which is still the same sensor as the S5ii, which is still the same sensor as in the s1 plus PDAF.

....

But there has to be a S1HII in the near future an it has to have 4k 60fps at least. That's not possible with those two sensors. So Panasonic will most likely introduce a new sensor. A S1HII or S1ii wouldn't make any sense otherwise.
 
I am somewhat worried that we will be disappointed. It seems unlikely that Panasonic will suddenly pull out a completely new sensor that Leica does not have. So we can expect basically the same sensor as the SL3 (ok but very slow readout) and the SL3-S, which is still the same sensor as the S5ii, which is still the same sensor as in the s1 plus PDAF.

I was hoping for a bit more. Some sort of stacked sensor would have been tempting

I’m also surprised that AF has not improved faster. I was expecting them to update and improve at a faster pace. Panasonic usually was very good with regular updates but they did not release much.

That’s the negative read. The positive one would be that they kept the surprises for after Leica’s releases so they are not looking bad. But I don’t see that being realistic given their L2 alliance.
For video the also introduced the new camera first als Lumix, than as Leica. For Photography exactly the opposite.

I expect the Leica sensor on the S1Rii, and a new sensor on the S1Hii.
 
For me, as a predominantly landscape stills photographer, L-mount is an excellent system and I have few real complaints with any of my gear (that's why I use it). The glass I need is there (a mixture of Panasonic and Sigma), and the bodies do what I need (IQ, stabilisation, ergonomics, features, build quality & reliability). The lack of class-leading AF is not a concern for me, and I don't need any fancy video features. Even if Panasonic launch a true Z8 competitor, I'm not sure I'd buy one immediately since the cost/benefit equation would not justify it.

So why do I predominantly agree with this PetePixel podcast? Well, the obvious risk is that unless L-mount reaches critical mass in the market, it's at risk of dying. At today's 4% share, it's a long way short of critical mass. And I find it hard to believe that a mass-market organisation like Panasonic will want to remain with such a low share. If Panasonic pulled the plug on L-mount, Sigma would surely lose enthusiasm too which would leave Leica as the sole player again; and there's no way that I'll be buying Leica bodies and lenses in the future.

So for me (and I think all of us), it's essential that L-mount is a strong player in the ILC market - and that means having competitive bodies across the various segments. Panasonic's current lack of anything other than entry/mid-level hybrid cameras (S5ii & S9) means that the system as a whole is not perceived as being truly comparable with Nikon Z, Sony E, or Canon R. No one is going to choose L-mount for sports or wildlife, or even event work like weddings because the AF is not considered up to the job (whether it is or not is not important, it's the perception). And it seems (based on my limited understanding of it) that even for high end video work, L-mount is now off the radar given that the S1H is considered outdated/obsolete.

So we are currently in the position where L-mount, as a complete ILC system, is well behind its competitors.

And Panasonic are AWOL. In 2019 when they launched L-mount they were about 6-9 months behind Nikon launching their Z system. Almost six years later, Nikon have gone from the launch bodies (Z7 and Z6) to the Z7ii, Z6ii, Z6iii, Z5, Z8, Z9, Zf, Z50, Z50ii, Z30, and Zfc. They have gone from "AF is sort of OK" to class-leading. And they have gone from being strongly photography-focussed to class-leading in video too. Canon have likewise re-invented themselves in mirrorless; and of course Sony are still seen as the tech leader in the market and are clearly the master of sensors. Meanwhile, Panasonic have launched the S5 (a repackaged S1) and, afters years of complaints about DfD, the S5ii. But where is the new flagship? Ever since I got into L-mount (late 23) there have been rumours/discussions about it, but still nothing.

So here we are in 2025 with the strong likelihood that we'll at last get the long-awaited S1 successors. But who knows when and what they will be? I think it's likely that we'll see an S1Rii relatively soon and that it will be effectively a cheaper SL3. That would be great for me - an SL3 lookalike will make a great landscape/studio camera - but with CAF and frame rates lagging their competitors, I can't see it doing much to bring new wildlife/sports/events photographers to the system. And of course, it's not a great video camera.

Which brings us to the S1ii/S1Hii. I strongly suspect that Panasonic will combine the two into a new hybrid camera - probably a similar approach to what they have done with the S5ii/S5iix, but in a higher tier. It will need to deliver to deliver significant improvements in CAF over what the SL3-s seems capable of; and of course it will need more than 24Mp and much faster readout to deliver the video modes the market is asking for. I really hope they don't stick with the current 24Mp sensor yet again - I think that would be very badly received by the reviewers and the influencers (for good reason).

So, for all these reasons I see 2025 as make or break for Panasonic. If we leave the year with a lukewarm reception to the S1ii launches then I'll be very concerned about the system's future. Panasonic need to show the market that L-mount can compete with the Z/E/R systems.
 
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